About that Martin/Wagner Poll

The Ed Martin campaign has released a memo about a poll conducted in the 2nd Congressional District. A statement includes, “The results speak loud and clear: Ed Martin is the true conservative for the citizens of the new Second District.”

We’re written previously about American Viewpoint polls (About that Emerson/Sowers Poll), and our complaints remain the same. But results matter. In that piece above, the data suggested that Emerson was 51% ahead of Sowers, 71% to 18%.  Emerson won the election seven months later by a 27% margin, 66% to 29%.

In October 2010, an American Viewpoint memo indicated Martin trailed Rep. Russ Carnahan 42% to 48%.  One month later, Martin ended up receiving 47% of the vote to Carnahan’s 49%.

So regardless of how little they choose to share with the public about their methodology, American Viewpoint hasn’t been wildly off in similar studies.

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